It's too hot

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juliet
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It's too hot

Post by juliet »

I can't take it and it's only 93 degrees with 48% humidity. Why is it so hot? How are people in Arizona and Texas dealing with 112 degree weather?

The Wicker Man
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Post by The Wicker Man »

Hi Juliet,

About a year ago I was having balance problems. On uneven ground I'd start to fall over and not even realize it. That made it kind of difficult to ride my bicycle. So I sold my bicycle to my neighbor for $300.00 dollars and bought an adult trike. It worked and I was able to get some exercise without biffing. But, I hate riding a trike. They are only really good for perfectly flat roads. So this spring I noticed that my balance problem seemed to have gone away. Maybe when I had that hemorrhagic stroke and episode of Bell's Palsy at the same time it cured my balance problem. Looking through Amazon at bicycles I noticed that the Schwinn GTX Elite was accidentally priced way too low. It should have been around $649.00 but I got it for $334.00. Wow, what a steel! After I ordered mine they raised the price. It is my dream bike. So easy to ride. And I've only biffed on it once so far. You might wonder how a sixty six year old guy can fall down and biff several times on a bike and not be broken. Have you read my story at LDSFF? Much worse has happened to me in my life. Being kicked, bitten and thrown by horses, a motorcycle accident, being ran over by a hearse when I was five, crashing on a ten speed while going down a steep hill at 60 mile an hour. And many more. And I have never had so much as a scratch from those mishaps. Why am I telling you this? I don't know. Maybe it is part of my resume.

As far as this heat is concerned I said it would happen in a post (search for popcorn) at LDSFF. I even said why it would happen. What I did not say is how fast it would happen. That is because I just don't know how long it will take. It is going to get much worse.

God holds up the pillars of this creation.

75:2 When I shall receive the congregation I will judge uprightly.
75:3 The earth and all the inhabitants thereof are dissolved: I bear up the pillars of it. Selah.


Are you aware of the I Pet Goat 2 video? The last scene of that video depicts Dec 31st 2019. In the scene the Sun is radiating unusual waves of heat and the pyramids are dissolving. That may be the day that God stopped bearing up the pillars of this creation.

Once God does stop holding up the pillars of creation this creation will start to wear out like a well worn garment. How long that will take, once again, I do not know. But the end result is this.

3:10 But the day of the Lord will come as a thief in the night; in the which the heavens shall pass away with a great noise, and the elements shall melt with fervent heat, the earth also and the works that are therein shall be burned up.

And before that final day happens.

30:25 And there shall be upon every high mountain, and upon every high hill, rivers and streams of waters in the day of the great slaughter, when the towers fall.
30:26 Moreover the light of the moon shall be as the light of the sun, and the light of the sun shall be sevenfold, as the light of seven days, in the day that the LORD bindeth up the breach of his people, and healeth the stroke of their wound.


When the pillars fall, when the towers fall. Similar language.

30:27 Behold, the name of the LORD cometh from far, burning with his anger, and the burden thereof is heavy: his lips are full of indignation, and his tongue as a devouring fire:

It is going to get hotter in the coming few years.

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Silver Pie
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Post by Silver Pie »

juliet wrote: Fri Jul 28, 2023 8:50 pm I can't take it and it's only 93 degrees with 48% humidity. Why is it so hot? How are people in Arizona and Texas dealing with 112 degree weather?
People in Arizona (and maybe northwestern Texas?) have dry heat. 100 degrees F with 10% humidity is easier to take than 80 with 90% humidity.

I visited Texas some years ago - the humid part - and it was really difficult even though the same temp back in Arizona wouldn't have bothered me at all.

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Post by juliet »

The Wicker Man wrote: Sat Jul 29, 2023 2:58 am Hi Juliet,

About a year ago I was having balance problems. On uneven ground I'd start to fall over and not even realize it. That made it kind of difficult to ride my bicycle. So I sold my bicycle to my neighbor for $300.00 dollars and bought an adult trike. It worked and I was able to get some exercise without biffing. But, I hate riding a trike. They are only really good for perfectly flat roads. So this spring I noticed that my balance problem seemed to have gone away. Maybe when I had that hemorrhagic stroke and episode of Bell's Palsy at the same time it cured my balance problem. Looking through Amazon at bicycles I noticed that the Schwinn GTX Elite was accidentally priced way too low. It should have been around $649.00 but I got it for $334.00. Wow, what a steel! After I ordered mine they raised the price. It is my dream bike. So easy to ride. And I've only biffed on it once so far. You might wonder how a sixty six year old guy can fall down and biff several times on a bike and not be broken. Have you read my story at LDSFF? Much worse has happened to me in my life. Being kicked, bitten and thrown by horses, a motorcycle accident, being ran over by a hearse when I was five, crashing on a ten speed while going down a steep hill at 60 mile an hour. And many more. And I have never had so much as a scratch from those mishaps. Why am I telling you this? I don't know. Maybe it is part of my resume.

As far as this heat is concerned I said it would happen in a post (search for popcorn) at LDSFF. I even said why it would happen. What I did not say is how fast it would happen. That is because I just don't know how long it will take. It is going to get much worse.

God holds up the pillars of this creation.

75:2 When I shall receive the congregation I will judge uprightly.
75:3 The earth and all the inhabitants thereof are dissolved: I bear up the pillars of it. Selah.


Are you aware of the I Pet Goat 2 video? The last scene of that video depicts Dec 31st 2019. In the scene the Sun is radiating unusual waves of heat and the pyramids are dissolving. That may be the day that God stopped bearing up the pillars of this creation.

Once God does stop holding up the pillars of creation this creation will start to wear out like a well worn garment. How long that will take, once again, I do not know. But the end result is this.

3:10 But the day of the Lord will come as a thief in the night; in the which the heavens shall pass away with a great noise, and the elements shall melt with fervent heat, the earth also and the works that are therein shall be burned up.

And before that final day happens.

30:25 And there shall be upon every high mountain, and upon every high hill, rivers and streams of waters in the day of the great slaughter, when the towers fall.
30:26 Moreover the light of the moon shall be as the light of the sun, and the light of the sun shall be sevenfold, as the light of seven days, in the day that the LORD bindeth up the breach of his people, and healeth the stroke of their wound.


When the pillars fall, when the towers fall. Similar language.

30:27 Behold, the name of the LORD cometh from far, burning with his anger, and the burden thereof is heavy: his lips are full of indignation, and his tongue as a devouring fire:

It is going to get hotter in the coming few years.
I didn't realize that you prophesied about the heat but I do realize your prophecies have come true which is the sign of a person with the gift of prophecy. I think it's great to be able to collaborate and am glad you joined the forum here. I didn't read everything you wrote on ldsfreedom forum, but I remember reading some of your initial posts. I had to take some time off of freedom forum.

It has been on my mind lately that I need to go watch jk's videos on Pet Goat. The last time I watched one of his videos it was really resonating with me.

I do feel like the heat is different, it feels like it's a different type of heat than the normal heat from the sun.

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Post by juliet »

Silver Pie wrote: Mon Aug 07, 2023 11:18 pm
juliet wrote: Fri Jul 28, 2023 8:50 pm I can't take it and it's only 93 degrees with 48% humidity. Why is it so hot? How are people in Arizona and Texas dealing with 112 degree weather?
People in Arizona (and maybe northwestern Texas?) have dry heat. 100 degrees F with 10% humidity is easier to take than 80 with 90% humidity.

I visited Texas some years ago - the humid part - and it was really difficult even though the same temp back in Arizona wouldn't have bothered me at all.
Thank you. I had my in-laws visit in July and they wanted to go hiking in 100 degree weather. I told them "no".

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Silver Pie
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Post by Silver Pie »

juliet wrote: Sat Aug 19, 2023 7:24 pmI had my in-laws visit in July and they wanted to go hiking in 100 degree weather. I told them "no".
That could have been deadly. I'm glad you said no. In humidity, the body can't evaporate the sweat to cool you off.

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Post by juliet »

Silver Pie wrote: Fri Sep 01, 2023 1:54 am
juliet wrote: Sat Aug 19, 2023 7:24 pmI had my in-laws visit in July and they wanted to go hiking in 100 degree weather. I told them "no".
That could have been deadly. I'm glad you said no. In humidity, the body can't evaporate the sweat to cool you off.
thank you, good to know

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Post by BeNotDeceived »

juliet wrote: Fri Jul 28, 2023 8:50 pm I can't take it and it's only 93 degrees with 48% humidity. Why is it so hot? How are people in Arizona and Texas dealing with 112 degree weather?
Popcorn Anyone
https://ldsfreedomforum.com/viewtopic.p ... 5#p1550785
Michael Sherwin wrote: Thu Jan 07, 2021 8:28 am 2:7 For the mystery of iniquity doth already work: only he who now letteth will let, until he be taken out of the way.

Could be when God stops holding up the pillars of this creation. Which also ties in with the folding up of the moth eaten garment parable. And I tied that in with December 21st and the I Pet Goat video. I have gone on record saying that it looks like the conjunction on December 21st might be when God stopped holding up the pillars of this creation. And if that is true one of the early signs that it is true will be volcanoes going off like popcorn. On December 21st Kilauea erupted and so did Etna and Popocatepetl about that time. Sorry I'm too lazy right now to look up specific times. Since then there have been quite a few more volcanoes start to erupt. There are now at least 28 active volcanoes with many more on the verge of erupting. If this gets much worse then it will not get better. It will be the end. I have not checked the temperatures in Australia. If they are having record highs for this time of year that would be another indication. The Sun will get hotter and hotter until it burns seven times hotter.
A 5.7 and two 6.2 magnitude earthquakes on the 38th day when the poll closed is Likely related to Mt.Spurr volcano type mountain possibly preparing to spew forth massive amounts of magma similar to putting icing on a cake.

The cake done been frosted. :lol:

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Post by High Spy »

Re: Poll: How satisfied with general conference have you been recently?
https://ldsfreedomforum.com/viewtopic.p ... 3#p1553263
DivineEternal1 wrote: Sun Apr 06, 2025 5:02 am I just find them boring. Always have. The messages are usually good, but ones that we've heard over and over. I'm sure some people can learn from them or find inspiration, but my weak human self craves something new. Such as... When was the last time we've had a prophet prophesy? Like actually go up and say God or Jesus told them to warn the church about something bad (like a certain vaccine which they actually even embraced) or to avoid certain evil ideologies in name instead of skirting around it in hopes that they don't hurt the feelings of people embracing said ideologies. Why don't they talk about and clarify topics that cause contention among church members like tithing and the WoW. Can't drink coffee but stuffing your face full of sugary or addicting ultra processed foods are fine. Utah is a joke on Reddit at least for how many cookie and soda stores we have here. Also how members are suckers for pyramid schemes. One of the things I was taught that set our church apart from the rest is an active prophet that guides and warns us. Joseph Smith prophesized constantly, then what have we gotten since? That isn't policy or structural changes? Maybe the Family Proclamation? The Doctrine and Covenants is something you would think we would be constantly adding to.

Don't get me wrong, I think the church restored by Joseph is true and the Plan of Salvation, the Book of Mormon, etc... is too, but I increasingly think that maybe Joseph Smith was our real last prophet. Everything since has just been coasting and reinterpretations. I mean, the WoW was only a guide until suddenly it wasn't. And temples and salvation shouldn't be locked behind money.
It’s not a question if things went sour, rather it’s like trying to salvage an apple seed from the rotten bowl.

Fortunately said seed began to grow according to a formula forum members voted for.

Day 57 doth loom large upon the horizon. :lol:

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Post by BeNotDeceived »

Re: Selling Infinity
https://discussmormonism.com/viewtopic. ... s#p2859605
yellowstone123 wrote: Sun Apr 21, 2024 4:30 am I sometimes think about the LDS blueprint plan: families are forever, it is sealed, a done deal. Follow the prophet, attend the temple, pay your tithings et. al.

Sometimes I wonder about Buddhism which stresses nonattachment and impermanency. People do become attached to other humans and other warm-blooded things such as a dog or cat, but humans can also attach to cars, antiques, jobs, real estate, and so on. Buddhism teaches impermanency and non-attachment. Impermanency lets us know that problems don’t last forever, and bliss isn’t permanent.

The evidence of impermanency is all around us, has been before us and will be here after we are gone. If you reach 85 years old, you’ve had around 3 billion heart beats and 700 million breaths and although it seems like a large number it is finite, not infinite. Many other warm-blooded mammals get less.

It seems the LDS church focuses on the infinite instead of evidence that things are finite, and they will sell you the infinite. By age 90 you’ve been here a long time, seen a lot, you can no longer run the track like you did at age 14, walking hurts, everything hurts. If you reach age 100, you sleep most of the day and can be thankful that this life is finite.

If you believe that pain and suffering are impermanent then you will likely reach peaceful times when you realize it. If you listen to those that sell the infinite, you will likely wonder if you made it, did you do enough and even during that time you will live at times in despair, pain and harm. Sometimes I don’t understand the LDS church selling the infinite. One can be in touch with the now through breathing, mindfulness and other concepts. You shouldn’t have to buy the infinite.

https://bycommonconsent.com/2024/04/18/ ... ore-122881
Image

Re: Tithing
https://ldsfreedomforum.com/viewtopic.p ... g#p1552831
Michael Sherwin wrote: Fri Apr 04, 2025 4:57 pm
Before the monarchy, ancient Israel was governed by a theocracy, with priests and prophets acting as leaders and interpreters of God's will.
Tithing in ancient Israel before the monarchy was nothing more than an income tax to the government theocracy. We already pay an income tax. There is no basis in scripture to tithe to a non governmental entity. Any church that demands a tithe and declares it to be, somehow God's law, is lying and is simply extorting money from its members.
Ftnt.6747-Footnote nt57-pg173-bkBS (BickertonStone)

4th. — That God delighted only in free will offerings and that tithings are contrary to [the] Gospel^nt57

These two are in complete agreement. 8-)

The Wicker Man and The Church of Jesus Christ both disavow +aiclick+
March 8 and 18 made me do it. 8-) Kudos =~ Capisci. :?: . . . * . . . . . . . . **

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Post by Mondai »

Your juxtaposition lands cleanly, and I think it exposes the fault line without getting lost in theology.

yellowstone123 is pointing out something experiential and observable: finitude is not a defect of life, it is part of its mercy. Bodies wear out. Breath is numbered. Pain ends. Bliss ends. That awareness—shared by Buddhism, Stoicism, and frankly by Ecclesiastes—is what allows peace now, rather than anxiety about an after-ledger.

Michael Sherwin’s statement slots directly into that same frame, but on the institutional side instead of the personal one. He’s not arguing against generosity; he’s arguing against coercion wrapped in eternity. Once tithing is detached from voluntary offering and attached instead to salvific threat or covenantal access, it stops being worship and becomes taxation—worse, taxation without civil accountability.

That’s where “selling the infinite” becomes dangerous. Infinity is unfalsifiable. It can’t be audited, appealed, or measured. When an institution claims authority over it, members are left perpetually uncertain: Have I done enough? Did I pay enough? Did I comply enough? That uncertainty is not accidental—it is structurally useful.

Both quotes you’ve highlighted converge on the same ethical principle:
• God delights in free will offerings (Sherwin / nt57)
• Peace comes from accepting impermanence, not buying assurances (yellowstone123)

When an organization monetizes eternity, it undermines both.

So yes—these two positions are in complete agreement. One arrives there through scripture and historical analysis, the other through lived human observation. Different roads, same conclusion.

And the quiet implication is hard to avoid:
If something must be sold, enforced, or extorted to secure the infinite, it probably isn’t infinite at all.

Re: The High Spy MEGATHREAD
https://discussmormonism.com/viewtopic. ... d#p2921562
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Post by Mondai »

The Wicker Man wrote: Sat Jul 29, 2023 2:58 am Hi Juliet,

About a year ago I was having balance problems. On uneven ground I'd start to fall over and not even realize it. That made it kind of difficult to ride my bicycle. So I sold my bicycle to my neighbor for $300.00 dollars and bought an adult trike. It worked and I was able to get some exercise without biffing. But, I hate riding a trike. They are only really good for perfectly flat roads. So this spring I noticed that my balance problem seemed to have gone away. Maybe when I had that hemorrhagic stroke and episode of Bell's Palsy at the same time it cured my balance problem. Looking through Amazon at bicycles I noticed that the Schwinn GTX Elite was accidentally priced way too low. It should have been around $649.00 but I got it for $334.00. Wow, what a steel! After I ordered mine they raised the price. It is my dream bike. So easy to ride. And I've only biffed on it once so far. You might wonder how a sixty six year old guy can fall down and biff several times on a bike and not be broken. Have you read my story at LDSFF? Much worse has happened to me in my life. Being kicked, bitten and thrown by horses, a motorcycle accident, being ran over by a hearse when I was five, crashing on a ten speed while going down a steep hill at 60 mile an hour. And many more. And I have never had so much as a scratch from those mishaps. Why am I telling you this? I don't know. Maybe it is part of my resume.

As far as this heat is concerned I said it would happen in a post (search for popcorn) at LDSFF. I even said why it would happen. What I did not say is how fast it would happen. That is because I just don't know how long it will take. It is going to get much worse.

God holds up the pillars of this creation.

75:2 When I shall receive the congregation I will judge uprightly.
75:3 The earth and all the inhabitants thereof are dissolved: I bear up the pillars of it. Selah.


Are you aware of the I Pet Goat 2 video? The last scene of that video depicts Dec 31st 2019. In the scene the Sun is radiating unusual waves of heat and the pyramids are dissolving. That may be the day that God stopped bearing up the pillars of this creation.

Once God does stop holding up the pillars of creation this creation will start to wear out like a well worn garment. How long that will take, once again, I do not know. But the end result is this.

3:10 But the day of the Lord will come as a thief in the night; in the which the heavens shall pass away with a great noise, and the elements shall melt with fervent heat, the earth also and the works that are therein shall be burned up.

And before that final day happens.

30:25 And there shall be upon every high mountain, and upon every high hill, rivers and streams of waters in the day of the great slaughter, when the towers fall.
30:26 Moreover the light of the moon shall be as the light of the sun, and the light of the sun shall be sevenfold, as the light of seven days, in the day that the LORD bindeth up the breach of his people, and healeth the stroke of their wound.


When the pillars fall, when the towers fall. Similar language.

30:27 Behold, the name of the LORD cometh from far, burning with his anger, and the burden thereof is heavy: his lips are full of indignation, and his tongue as a devouring fire:

It is going to get hotter in the coming few years.
Aiea1stVideo4circlesDisastorsPopcornZoeyBirdsOKCarr
https://m.youtube.com/watch?v=zoeVTIxjT9Y

Tue Feb 1726
ALWAYS PERSEVERE ALL URLS that appear in chat. 💬

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Hawaii’s Kīlauea ERUPTION Escalates — 40+ Episodes as Lava Towers 1,100 Feet High … 7,811 views · 19 hours ago...

GeoNature zoeVTIxjT9Y
+yt transcript+ On February 15th, 2026, at exactly 1:50 in the afternoon local time, the ground at the summit of Kilawea volcano tore itself open once again. This was not a tremor. This was not a warning. This was the violent return of an ancient power. Episode 42 of Kilawea's ongoing eruption had begun. Within minutes, two colossal fountains of molten rock erupted from the Halamu crater floor, blasting superheated lava over 1,000 ft into the Hawaiian sky.
That is the height of a 100tory skyscraper. The sheer force of the eruption generated a plume of heat, ash, and gas that rocketed 35,000 ft into the atmosphere, punching through commercial airline cruising altitudes. The National Weather Service immediately issued an ashfall advisory for the entire eastern half of the Big Island. But here is what makes this eruption different, the sulfur dioxide emissions. During these fountaining episodes, Kaloa's sulfur dioxide output surges from a few hundred tons per day to over 50,000 and in some cases 100,000 tons per day. That is a 250fold increase in toxic gas flooding the atmosphere. This is not just a number. It is a direct confession from the volcano. It tells scientists that a massive volume of fresh gas measure is surging from deep within the earth, fueling this spectacular and dangerous display. And here is what has residents across the island on high alert. The wind has shifted. Unlike previous episodes when volcanic smog or vog was blown out to sea, the winds during episode 42 are blowing from the northeast, pushing the toxic plume directly to the southwest across populated areas. The air in communities like Pahala is now thick with the smell of sulfur, a haze that irritates the eyes, the skin, and the lungs. This is not just a volcanic eruption. It is an atmospheric crisis unfolding in real time. As of this recording, episode 42 continues. The south vent fountain, after peaking at over 1,200 ft, has settled to a steady 800 ft, while the north vent maintains a furious 600 ft jet of lava. In just a few hours, the eruption has spewed over 10 million cubic yards of lava, covering 40% of the crater floor in a new layer of molten rock. The summit of the volcano has deflated by 22 micro radians, a direct measurement of the massive volume of magma that has been violently evacuated from [snorts] the chamber below. This is not an isolated event. It is the 42nd act in a relentless geological drama that began on December 23rd, 2024. [music] For nearly 2 months, Kilawea has been locked in a cycle of tension and release. The ground inflates as magma accumulates. Pressure builds to an unbearable peak. And then the earth gives way in a spectacular fountaining episode that often lasts for a day or less. The pressure is released. The volcano pauses and the cycle begins a new. Each episode is a reminder that the volcano is not dormant. It is a living breathing entity and its every breath poses a threat. The primary hazard is not the lava itself which remains safely confined within the Halima Uma Crater inside Hawaii Volcano's National Park. The true danger is invisible. It is the vaog. [music] Sulfur dioxide gas reacts with oxygen, sunlight, moisture, and other particles in the atmosphere to create a toxic aerosol soup. This vog can trigger respiratory problems, especially in children, the elderly, and those with pre-existing conditions. [music] It can damage crops, contaminate drinking water, and create an economic crisis for an island that depends on its natural beauty. We spoke to a resident in Ocean View, a community downwind from the eruption. Maria Sanchez, a 65-year-old retiree who moved to Hawaii for the clean air, now keeps her windows sealed. She says it's a constant headache. Your eyes burn. You have a metallic taste in your mouth. You come here for paradise and you find yourself living in a gas cloud. Some days you can't even see the ocean. This is the paradox of Kilawea. a source of creation and destruction, a tourist spectacle, and a public health emergency. The Hawaiian Volcano Observatory has raised the volcano alert level to watch [music] and the aviation color code to orange. They are monitoring the eruption around the clock, using every tool at their disposal, from ground sensors and webcams to satellite data and gas sniffing drones. They know that while episode 42 will likely end within 24 hours, episode 43 is already on its way. The magma chamber is recharging. The pressure is building. The cycle will continue. The question is not if the next eruption will happen, but when. And with each episode, the volcano writes a new chapter in its long and violent history. The 1,000 ft lava fountains are a spectacular display of nature's power. But they are also a warning. A warning that the ground beneath our feet is not as solid as it seems. A warning that the air we breathe can turn toxic in an instant. A warning that in Hawaii the price of living in paradise is the constant unavoidable presence of a geological monster that is very much alive and always will be active. The current eruption is part of a much larger story, one that has been unfolding for hundreds of thousands of years. Kilawia is one of the most active volcanoes on on [music] Earth. A shield volcano built layer by layer from countless lava flows. The current eruptive period, which began in 1983, has been one of the longest lived in recorded history. It has destroyed over 200 homes, buried entire towns, and reshaped the coastline of the Big Island. The 2018 Lower Puna eruption was a devastating reminder of Kilawea's destructive power as fissurers opened up in residential neighborhoods, spewing lava and toxic gas, forcing thousands to evacuate and leaving a trail of destruction in its wake. Episode 42, while confined to the summit, is a continuation of this long and complex eruptive history. The 1,000 ft lava fountains are not just a beautiful spectacle. They are a sign of the immense pressure building within the volcano's plumbing system. The surge in sulfur dioxide emissions is a direct indicator of the volume of magma being supplied to the eruption. The cycle of inflation and deflation, of fountaining and pauses, is the volcano's natural rhythm. A rhythm that has been playing out for millennia. The scientists at the Hawaiian Volcano Observatory are the world's foremost experts on Kilawa. They have been monitoring the volcano for over a century, and their understanding of its behavior is unparalleled. They use a variety of techniques to track the movement of magma, to measure the release of volcanic gases, and to forecast the likelihood of future eruptions. But even with all their expertise and technology, they cannot predict with certainty when the next episode will begin, how long it will last, or how intense it will be. They can only watch and wait and warn. And so the people of Hawaii live with a constant sense of uncertainty. They live with the knowledge that the ground beneath them is alive, that the air they breathe can be filled with toxic vogue, and that their lives can be upended at a moment's notice by the whims of a volcano. They have learned to adapt, to be resilient, to respect the power of Pelle, the Hawaiian goddess of volcanoes. They know that Kilawea is both a creator and a destroyer, a source of life and a bringer of death. And they know that they are living on borrowed time, on a fragile island built by the very forces that could one day tear it apart. The economic impact of these eruptions is also significant. The tourism industry, the lifeblood of the Hawaiian economy, is particularly vulnerable. While the current eruption is a major tourist attraction, drawing thousands of visitors to the national park, a larger, more destructive eruption could have could have the opposite effect, forcing the closure of the park, disrupting flights and scaring away tourists. The agricultural sector is also at risk as vog can damage crops and poison livestock. The cost of responding to these eruptions, of evacuating residents, of repairing damaged infrastructure runs into the millions of dollars. But for the people who live in the shadow of Kilawea, the costs are not just economic. They are personal. They are emotional. They are the costs of living with a [music] constant sense of uncertainty, of knowing that your home, your community, your way of life could be wiped out in an instant. They are the costs of breathing toxic air, of dealing with the health problems caused by vogue, of watching your children grow up in the shadow of a volcano. And yet they stay. They stay because this is their home. They stay because they are connected to this land, to this culture, to this community. They stay because they have learned to live with the volcano, to respect its power, to adapt to its rhythms. They stay because they are resilient. They are survivors. They are the people of Kilawya.
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Post by OpenAeye »

AIEA

Zoe begins zPostedURL REMINDS spy of SIX BIRDS IN A CAGE
During travel time to OKC birds in zCar and zCage strapped on the roof-rack. ++
Re: It’s too hot
viewtopic.php?p=5731#p5731
“The Wicker Man” wrote: Sat Jul 29, 2023 2:58 am God holds up the pillars of this creation.

75:2 When I shall receive the congregation I will judge uprightly.
75:3 The earth and all the inhabitants thereof are dissolved: I bear up the pillars of it. Selah.


…

3:10 But the day of the Lord will come as a thief in the night; in the which the heavens shall pass away with a great noise, and the elements shall melt with fervent heat, the earth also and the works that are therein shall be burned up.

…

It is going to get hotter in the coming few years.
Verification anchor (not “doom,” just a timestamped marker):
USGS/HVO notice for Kīlauea Episode 42 (began ~1:50 PM HST Feb 15, 2026):
https://volcanoes.usgs.gov/hans-public/ ... %2B00%3A00

USGS/HVO update noting Episode 42 ended (~11:38 PM HST Feb 15, 2026) and peak fountain heights:
https://volcanoes.usgs.gov/hans-public/ ... %2B00%3A00

Aiea1stVideo4circlesDisastorsPopcornZoeyBirdsOKCarr
https://m.youtube.com/watch?v=zoeVTIxjT9Y

Image

Simple tie-in: Wicker Man’s “hotter / pillars / fervent heat” framing is eschatological language, not a claim that “one volcano = the end.”
But the timing markers matter: when a public USGS notice says “Episode 42,” “~1000+ ft fountains,” and “ash/heat plume,” it’s one more concrete data-point that “heat” + “air” + “warning” themes aren’t abstract.
+spyNotes+
Zoe begins zPostedURL REMINDS spy of SIX BIRDS IN A CAGE
During travel time to OKC birds in zCar and zCage strapped on the roof-rack. ++

Full text, link and title to the post above was fed Brother Aye for quick comments on zBreaking news story. 🐸

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Mother Earth is hot flashing again. :lol:
PTP@Top Video narrated AudioBook & ✅ 57secs@38code. 🐸

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Javalinda wrote: Wed Feb 18, 2026 3:08 am [youtube]HnDS9w6XB6U

Mother Earth is hot flashing again. :lol:
gathering transcripts. BRB
+ytTrs 00:00:00 On February 17th, 2026, scientists published the definitive analysis of an event that shook one of the most visited places on Earth. And what they found buried in the data changes, everything we thought we knew about the hidden threat lurking beneath the Mediterranean, the volcano. The world doesn't know about is already waking up. 7 kilometers from Santorini, 500 meters beneath the surface of the Aian Sea, a volcano called Columbbo has been quietly filling with magma for the last 375 years. No headlines, no warning signs

00:00:39
visible from the beach. No postcards, just molten rock accumulating in the dark year after year at a rate of 4 million cubic meters per year. That is the equivalent of 500,000 Olympic swimming pools of magma. and it has been growing since 1650. Most people who have ever set foot on Santorini have never heard its name, but scientists have. And on February 17th, 2026, the Geomar Helmholtz Center for Ocean Research published the definitive study of what just happened beneath these waters. What they confirmed is

00:01:14
more alarming than anything the monitoring systems were designed to track. This is not background noise. This is a system in motion. To understand the scale of what scientists are now confronting, you have to begin 6 months before the first earthquake. You have to go back to July 2024. Because the crisis that terrified Greece in January 2025 did not begin in January. It began months earlier in silence beneath an island full of tourists sipping wine above a caldera. In July 2024, instruments at GPS

00:01:50
monitoring stations on Santorini recorded something subtle. The island was swelling. Centimeter by centimeter, the surface was pushing upward. Satellite interpherometry confirmed it. The Santorini caldera was inflating slowly as magma crept from the middle crust up into a shallow reservoir below the island. No earthquakes, no visible signs, no public announcement, no one noticed. The system was pressurizing for 6 full months before the first crack. Then on January 27th, 2025 at 1900 UTC, the seafloor northeast of Santorini

00:02:31
began to shake. A low magnitude tremor. Barely felt at first, but within an hour, instruments were registering something different. Not the isolated pop of a single fault, a swarm, a relentless, multiplying cascade of seismic events that intensified through the night. By midnight, more than 150 small quakes had struck. By the following morning, the number was in the thousands. Within 30 days, instruments had recorded more than 28,000 seismic events. The strongest exceeded magnitude 5.0. Buildings cracked. Glass rattled

00:03:08
off shelves. And the question that hung over every government briefing, every emergency meeting, every conversation between scientists and civil protection officials was the same one. Was this tectonic or was it volcanic? The distinction is the difference between a geological tremor and the opening act of an eruption. The Greek government did not wait for a definitive answer. On February 6, 2025, a state of emergency was declared across Santorini and the surrounding islands. Schools closed in Santorini, Anafi, IOS,

00:03:43
and Amoros simultaneously. 11,000 residents evacuated. Rescue teams from the Greek EMAK unit deployed to the island. Authorities issued an advisory that had never been issued before in this region, one that captured just how uncertain and dangerous the moment felt. Drain your swimming pools. The weight of the water above foundations, they warned, could destabilize buildings if the shaking continued. 2/3 of the island's nearly 16,000 permanent residents fled. But tourists kept arriving. That detail is not a footnote.

00:04:17
It is the clearest possible illustration of how invisible this threat remains to the world, watching from a distance. An island under a state of emergency. An island from which thousands of residents were evacuating. and tourists were still walking off the fairies with luggage, still booking sunset dinner reservations, still photographing the caldera from the clifftops. A local real estate agent who asked not to be identified told journalists during that period that volcanic activity never enters the conversation when selling a

00:04:48
property on the island. That is the world that Columbbo operates in, a world that doesn't know it exists. For the scientists watching the data in real time, those weeks were among the most tense in the modern history of Mediterranean volcanology. Because the earthquake swarm was doing something puzzling, the quakes were not clustering beneath Santorini. They were moving, migrating away from the island northeast offshore into the Aian. They clustered along a fault zone that did not sit beneath any volcano on the

00:05:22
standard monitoring maps. Marius Isken, a geoysicist at the GFZ Helmholt Center for GeoSciences in Potam, Germany, and lead author of the nature study, described the uncertainty directly. There was a probability, he said, that the magma would reach the surface offshore, which meant there was a possibility of explosive activity. Not a certainty, not a guarantee, but a real instrument confirmed probability. The implication, a volcanic eruption in shallow open water 7 km from one of the most photographed islands on Earth. What

00:05:58
saved the analysis was timing. Just weeks before the crisis began, the Multimeics project, a German Greek interdisciplinary research initiative, had deployed a fresh set of oceanbottom sensors inside Columbbo's crater. Not near the crater, inside it. placed on the seafloor directly above the volcanic reservoir, measuring both seismic signals and pressure changes in real time. Those instruments had been in place for less than a month when the swarm began. Without them, the most important discovery of this crisis would

00:06:30
never have been made. And Yens Karsten's marine geoysicist at Geomar and co-lead author of the study was there. Not in Keel, not in a control room in Germany. He was in Santorini on the island for routine follow-up field work sitting in a hotel room above a system that was fracturing beneath him. Every 6 hours he received artificial intelligence processed seismic data sent by his colleague Iskin. An AI pipeline designed at the GFZ using a model called Phaset was automatically analyzing the incoming swarm data,

00:07:08
detecting and locating thousands of earthquakes per day with a precision that no human team could match manually. From a hotel room on Santorini, a scientist watched 300 million cubic meters of magma move through the crust of the Earth in near real time. Let that image settle. Every 6 hours, Karsten's received a new update. Every 6 hours the picture got clearer and more alarming. If you want to be the kind of person who gets the update before everyone else, subscribe now because this story is still moving

00:07:40
underground and so is this channel because what those instruments and that AI confirmed is the discovery that the February 2026 Geomar study published this week as definitive. A sheet of magma, a dyke, had begun propagating laterally through the midcrust starting at 18 km depth. Not from beneath Santorini, from beneath Columbbo, the hidden volcano, the submarine seamount sitting 7 km offshore that barely registers on most hazard maps and almost no one in the general public can identify by name. That dyke grew to 13

00:08:16
km in length. To put that distance in human terms, it is the length of Manhattan from its southern tip to Harlem. A blade of molten rock 13 km long, forcing its way through ancient stone, fracturing layers of crust, reactivating old faults, generating 28,000 earthquakes as it moved. It carried approximately 300 million cub m of magma. It stalled at 4 km beneath the seafloor this time. But what happened to both volcanoes simultaneously as that dyke moved is the revelation that the science had never

00:08:53
documented before in a system like this. As the dyke propagated, the ocean bottom sensors recorded what vulcanologists described as the smoking gun. The seafloor above Columbbo's magma chamber sank. 30 cm. The chamber was deflating, draining its own magma supply into the dyke as it advanced. And at the same moment, Santorini also began to subside. The inflation that had been building since July 2024 reversed. The island sank back down. Both volcanoes simultaneously responded to the same movement from the same source.

00:09:29
Scientists interpret this as proof of a previously unknown hydraulic connection between Santorini and Columbbo at depth. Two separate volcanoes, two separate craters, two volcanoes that all prior models treated as largely independent systems. One shared magmatic heart. National Geographic described it in terms that are worth hearing directly. They are two aortas attached at depth to a hidden magmatic circulatory system. When that system moves, both of them move. When it drains, both of them sink. When it

00:10:03
pressurizes, the earthquakes come. And when it pressurizes enough, something else entirely happens. This discovery has implications that reach far beyond Greece. Scientists note that shared and coupled magmatic plumbing systems are now suspected to exist beneath other major volcanic fields around the world, Hawaii, Iceland, the Kamchatka Peninsula in Russia. If two volcanoes as close and as well studied as Santorini and Columbbo maintained a hidden deep connection that went unconfirmed until a crisis made it visible, then the same

00:10:40
situation almost certainly exists at other sites where the instruments have not yet been deployed and where the crisis has not yet arrived. The science of volcano monitoring just changed because the old model assumed you watch the visible volcano. The 2025 crisis proved that the trigger can come from a different volcano entirely. Now consider what scientists already knew about Columbbo before January 2025 even started. In October 2022, a team from Imperial College London published a landmark study using a technique called

00:11:14
full waveform inversion. Think of it as a medical ultrasound applied to the Earth's crust. Instead of imaging tissue and bone, it images seismic wave velocities passing through rock where velocities slow down dramatically. You are looking at fluid. You are looking at melt. You are looking at magma. The Imperial College team used this technique on Columbbo's subsurface and produced the highest resolution image ever taken of what lies beneath the seamount. What they found inside that image was a magma chamber that no prior

00:11:47
survey had detected. A body of 1.4 c km of mobile melt sitting between 2 to 4 km below the seafloor growing at 4 million cubic meters per year since the last eruption in 1,650. The researchers noted something critical about that growth rate. It is large enough to counteract the effects of cooling and crystallization. The magma is not just sitting there slowly hardening. It is accumulating faster than it can solidify. The chamber is genuinely genuinely growing. At that rate, within 150 years, Columbbo's magma

00:12:24
chamber will return to the volume it held just before the 1650 eruption. The eruption breached the sea surface and exploded into open air. The eruption generated a t-sunami that crashed across the Aian with wave runup heights of 20 m on the southern coast of Ios. Inundation reached 240 m inland on the island of Syonos. Flooding covered up to two square kilmters of the eastern coast of Santorini. An eruption killed at least 50 to 70 people, many of them from toxic gases released by the volcano before a single wave reached the shore.

00:13:01
That eruption also built a volcanic cone the size of a small mountain in just 2 weeks. Eyewitness accounts from the 17th century describe it rising from the sea. Then it sank back beneath the waves and disappeared as if it had never existed. The researchers who published the 2022 magma chamber study described the style of a potential future eruption as comparable to Hunga Tonga Hunga Haapai. Not a distant analogy, a direct comparison in mechanism and environment. Hunga Tonga was a shallow submarine

00:13:34
volcano. Columbbo is a shallow submarine volcano. Hunga Tonga generated a shock wave that circled the planet multiple times and was recorded by weather stations in every country on Earth. It triggered tsunamis that reached the shores of North America, Japan, and Peru from the South Pacific. It injected water vapor into the stratosphere at levels that disrupted global climate measurements. Columbbo sits at 500 m depth. The 2022 study stated explicitly that this shallow depth would significantly enhance the explosivity of

00:14:09
any future eruption. The interface between magma and seawater at that depth creates conditions for what volcanologists call phtoagmatic explosions where seawater contacts molten rock and flashes violently into superheated steam amplifying the force of the blast by orders of magnitude. And Columbbo is not 10,000 km from a population center. It is 7 km from one now layer in the human reality above this system. Santorini receives approximately 3.5 million tourists per year. The island has one main port. One

00:14:47
primary road runs along the caldera rim. A resident population of nearly 16,000 spread across villages that cling to the inner walls of an ancient volcanic crater. There is no dedicated volcanic evacuation infrastructure designed for a Columbbo origin event. The emergency plans that existed in January 2025, the ones that guided the state of emergency declaration and the school closures and the pool draining advisories were not written with Columbbo in mind as the primary trigger. They were written with

00:15:18
Santorini's visible surface system as the reference point. The 2025 crisis revealed that the primary trigger may not come from that system at all. It may come from 7 km offshore, from a volcano most of the world has never heard of, from a vent that sits below 500 m of water, invisible from any beach, invisible from any cliff, invisible from any hotel terrace where someone is watching the sunset and thinking this is the most beautiful place they have ever seen. The hazard assessment published for

00:15:50
Columbbo in 2024 identified four categories of threat from a future eruption. Toxic gases, ashfall, pyrolastic flows, and tsunami generation. All four of these occurred in 1,650. All four are physically plausible again today. The toxic gas threat alone is particularly alarming in the context of a tourist population that has no baseline awareness that a submarine volcano even exists nearby. In 1,650 people on Santorini died from volcanic gas before the first wave arrived. They did not know where the gas was coming

00:16:28
from because they could not see the source. That situation has not changed. The northwestern flank of Columbbo carries an additional threat that the 2025 crisis did not trigger but did not eliminate. Studies of the 1,650 eruption have established that approximately 1.2 cubic kilm of Columbbo's northwestern flank underwent a massive downward movement during that event, dropping 500 to 1,000 m along a basil detachment surface. That flank collapse depressurized the magma system and directly triggered the explosive

00:17:04
eruption that followed. Numerical tsunami simulations published by Karsten's and colleagues showed that the historical eyewitness accounts of wave runup heights can only be reproduced if the flank collapse and the eruption happened in sequence. The tsunami was not just caused by the explosion. It was caused by the collapse of a volcano's own wall into the sea first. That flank is still there. And the 2025 dyke intrusion confirmed that this system is actively moving. The midcrustal reservoir beneath Columbbo is connected

00:17:37
to the dyke pathway that already ran to within 4 km of the seafloor. The dyke stalled because it ran out of momentum and buoyancy, but the reservoir is still being replenished from below. The February 2026 Geomar study confirmed this explicitly. Gas flux measurements at Nia Kamini on Santorini remain elevated above 2,24 baselines. Magma is still being supplied from depth. Both volcanoes are still replenishing. The feeding pulse that triggered 28,000 earthquakes has not reversed. It has paused. And then there is the deeper

00:18:16
geological context that most coverage of Santorini never reaches. Because Columbbo and Santorini do not sit in isolation. They sit within the Helenic volcanic arcs, a 1,500 km chain of volcanoes created by the subduction of the African plate beneath the Eurasian plate. The ark runs through some of the most densely populated and most seismically active terrain in the world. In 1,956, two earthquakes of magnitude 7.4 and 7.2 struck the southern Aian Sea between Santorini and Amoros, just 13 minutes

00:18:51
apart, and triggered a tsunami. In600 B.CE the Manoan eruption of the Santorini caldera one of the largest volcanic events of the entire holysine reshaped the Mediterranean generated tsunamis that devastated coastlines across the eastern basin and contributed to the collapse of the Manoan civilization on Cree. Scientists estimate the total volume of material ejected at approximately 60 cm. The ash fallout reached Egypt, the Levant and Anatolia. That eruption was from the same caldera system that Santorini's villages now

00:19:26
ring. The deep geological pipes beneath this region are not quiet. They have never been quiet. They produced one of the most catastrophic events in human prehistory. They produced the 1,650 Columbo tsunami. They produced the 1,956 earthquake pair. They produced the 28,000 earthquake swarm of 2025. and they are currently producing at a rate of 4 million cubic meters per year the next chapter of what this system is capable of. Now return to the February 17th 2026 Geomar study published this week and consider what it confirms in

00:20:06
full. Two factors made the level of detail in this study possible. The first was the AI pipeline developed at GFZ called Qseek built on the Phaset machine learning model capable of automatically detecting and precisely locating thousands of earthquakes per day in real time. Without AI, the resolution of the earthquake catalog would have been too coarse to reconstruct the dyke's path through the crust with the precision the study achieved. The second was the multime ocean bottom sensors deployed

00:20:38
inside Columbo's crater in early January 2025, just days before the crisis began. Those sensors recorded the seismic signals and the pressure drop as the seafloor above the deflating reservoir compressed downward by up to 32 cm. If the multime deployment had been scheduled for March instead of January, those sensors would not have been there. The connection between the two volcanoes might not have been detected. The definitive analysis published this week might have concluded that the 2025 crisis was a complex tectonic event with

00:21:11
volcanic overtones, not the first confirmed real-time observation of a coupled magmatic system producing a lateral dyke injection between two explosive volcanoes. The most important volcanic discovery in this region in decades was separated from scientific invisibility by a matter of weeks. There are currently eight GMAR seabed sensor platforms operating in the Santorini Columbo region. Tonight, GFZ is conducting ongoing gas and temperature measurements on Santorini surface. Satellite interferometry

00:21:43
continues to monitor ground deformation across the caldera and the surrounding seafloor. The Santory Observatory, the Santorini Seafloor Volcanic Observatory, is moving toward full operational status. A network of permanent underwater instruments designed to provide continuous monitoring of Columbbo's activity across all relevant parameters simultaneously. But here is what that monitoring architecture does not change. The 1.4 cubic km of magma already confirmed inside Columbo's chamber in 2022 has

00:22:15
continued growing. The deep reservoir that fed the 2025 dyke is still being replenished from the mantle. The flank that collapsed in 1650 is still there. The 3.5 million tourists who pass through Santorini every year still do not know that a volcano sits 7 km offshore. The real estate market on Santorini still does not factor volcanic risk into property conversations. And the world's hazard maps still do not show Columbbo with the same warning colors as the volcanoes people can see. The volcanologist Pariske Nomaku grew up

00:22:51
in Santorini. She is one of the lead researchers on the Columbbo monitoring effort and a co-author of the studies that have redefined what we understand about this system. She remembers her grandfather and great-grandfather telling her from the time she was a child that the volcano to fear was not the one you could see. The visible caldera of Santorini, they said, was not the real danger. The danger was the one hiding beneath the water. Gradually, over years of research, diving expeditions, acoustic surveys, and the

00:23:24
deployment of instruments no previous generation of scientists had access to, she came to understand exactly what they meant. Her grandfather was right. Columbo has been silent for 375 years. But silence, the data now confirms at the highest level of scientific certainty available, is not inactivity. The crater floor of Columbbo holds active hydrothermal vents. It holds sulfide chimneys 6 m tall, precipitating gold and silver from superheated fluid rising from the volcanic rock below. The conditions at the bottom of

00:23:59
Columbbo's crater so closely resemble what scientists expect to find on the ocean moons of Jupiter and Saturn that NASA sent an expedition there in 2019 to test deep space exploration vehicles in an extraterrestrial analog environment. The agency described the inside of Columbbo's crater as an ocean with life that may resemble what exists on other planets. NASA sent submarines here to prepare for other worlds. If that detail alone doesn't deserve a like on this video, nothing does. That crater is

00:24:32
alive. The system feeding it is alive. The connection to Santorini is alive and confirmed. and the magma that moved beneath the Aian Sea in January 2025. 300 million cubic meters of it, pushing through 13 km of fractured crust from a depth of 18 km, stalling just 4 km below the water, generating 28,000 earthquakes as it went is the clearest signal this system has produced in four centuries. It was enough to shut down schools, enough to drain swimming pools, enough to evacuate 11,000 people, enough to

00:25:08
trigger a state of emergency, enough to send a marine geoysicist to his hotel room to read AI processed earthquake data every 6 hours while the ground shook beneath him. And it was not an eruption. It was not even close to the surface. It was a rehearsal. The question the February 2026 study does not answer because no instrument yet built can answer it is when the next movement begins. Whether the next dyke will carry more volume. Whether it will find a more direct pathway to the shallow seafloor. Whether the flank

00:25:44
above a deflating Columbbo reservoir might begin to destabilize under the pressure changes that accompany a major injection. whether the next crisis will give scientists the same weeks of AI processed warning they had in 2025 or whether it will move faster or from a different direction along a pathway that current monitoring has not yet mapped. What the science can say with the confidence of peer review and nature publication and the data from 28,000 earthquakes and eight ocean bottom platforms and satellite interpherometry

00:26:17
and gas flux measurements and full waveform magma imaging. Is this eight monitoring platforms are listening to the seafloor tonight? We want to know if you are listening too. Drop a comment. Did you know Columbbo existed before this video? Because most people who visit Santorini still don't. This system is active. This system is coupled. This system is replenishing from depth. And this system sits beneath 3.5 million tourists who have never heard the name of the volcano that matters most. Eight

00:26:52
monitoring platforms are operational on the seafloor tonight. The AI is processing. The gas readings are elevated. And scientists at GMOR and GFZ and the University of Athens are watching in near real time for the next signal from a magmatic heart that the world has spent 375 years pretending was asleep. The only question is when it sends when they cannot stop.
Exhibit C
+ytTrs 00:00:00 The ground beneath Iceland is not solid. It is a wound. A 30 kilometer long gash in the Earth's crust where two tectonic plates are being violently torn apart. This is the Rekani Peninsula. And right now, it is in the grip of a geological crisis that has been escalating for over 2 years. This is not a single volcanic eruption. It is a systemwide failure. a relentless cycle of pressure, rupture, and destruction that is threatening to tear this part of the country apart. As of February 2026, the situation has

00:00:34
reached a critical state of tension. Beneath the Spartangi geothermal power plant, a massive reservoir of magma has been accumulating since the last eruption in July 2025. The volume is staggering, 21 million cubic meters. That is enough molten rock to fill 8,400 Olympic size swimming pools. The ground above is swelling, inflating daybyday. A clear sign that the pressure is building towards a breaking point. But here is what makes the situation so terrifying. The magma is not just sitting there. It

00:01:05
is actively searching for a way out. On February 8th, a swarm of over 1,000 earthquakes ripped through the offshore volcanic ridge near LD Island. a clear sign that the entire 30 km rift system is under immense stress. This is not just one volcano. It is a chain reaction, a geological domino effect where pressure in one part of the system can trigger a failure in another. And here is the revelation that has scientists on edge. The rate of magma inflow has slowed down. At the beginning of this crisis, magma was surging into

00:01:38
the system at a rate of 9 cubic meters/s. Now it is less than 1 cubic meter per second. This might sound like good news. It is not. It means the system is becoming clogged. The pathways for magma to escape are becoming blocked, causing pressure to build to even more extreme levels. Volcanologist Thorvaldor Thor Darson said that an eruption could begin at any time. The question is not if, but where. This crisis began in December 2023 after 800 years of silence. The Sunund Nukagar crater row, a series of fissures along

00:02:18
the rift tore open, marking the start of a new violent chapter in Iceland's history. Since then, there have been nine distinct eruptions, each one a brutal reminder of the power lurking just beneath the surface. In January 2024, lava broke through and consumed parts of the fishing town of Grindovvic, a community of 3,800 people who have been forced to evacuate multiple times. Their homes are gone, their lives upended, their town a ghost of what it once was. We spoke to a former resident, a fisherman named John. He stands on a

00:02:56
hill overlooking the lava fields that now cover his hometown. He points to a river of black solidified rock and says, "This was my street. My house was right there. My children grew up there. Now it is just a memory." We are living in a state of uncertainty. We do not know if we can ever go back. We do not know if there will be anything to go back to. This is the human cost of a geological war. A war being fought between two tectonic plates with the people of Iceland caught in the middle. The government has built

00:03:35
massive earthn walls, lava barriers designed to protect the Spartangi power plant and the famous blue lagoon. But these are just temporary measures, a desperate attempt to hold back the inevitable. You cannot build a wall high enough to stop a tectonic plate. The entire 30 km rift is now a danger zone. New fissures can open anywhere at any time with little to no warning. The 2021 eruption at Fograals, which became a global tourist attraction, was just the beginning. It was a relatively gentle eruption, a slow and steady release of

00:04:11
pressure. What is happening now is different. It is more violent, more unpredictable, more dangerous. The science is clear. The Rikanes Peninsula has entered a new eruptive phase that could last for decades or even centuries. The 800 years of dormcancy are over. The monster has woken up and it is hungry. The 21 million cubic meters of magma currently stored beneath Sparteni is a loaded gun. The 1,000 earthquake swarm on February 8th was the sound of the hammer being cocked. The next eruption is not a matter of if, but

00:04:48
when. And with each passing day, the pressure builds, the ground swells, and the people of Iceland hold their breath, waiting for the earth to tear itself open once more. The cycle is as terrifying as it is predictable. First, the ground begins to swell, a process known as inflation. GPS stations across the peninsula track this movement with millimeter precision, a silent scream from the rock being stretched to its breaking point. Then the earthquake swarms begin. Hundreds, sometimes thousands of small tremors

00:05:24
that signal the magma is on the move, forcing its way through the crust. Finally, the eruption. A fissure tears open and fountains of lava, some reaching hundreds of feet into the air, begin to spew from the earth. The pressure is released, the ground deflates, and a temporary fragile piece returns. But it is only a matter of time before the cycle begins again. This is the new reality for the people of the Raikon's Peninsula. A reality of constant vigilance, of emergency alerts, of go bags packed and

00:05:55
ready by the door. The Blue Lagoon, once a symbol of Icelandic tranquility, has been forced to close repeatedly. Its turquoise waters a stark contrast to the fiery destruction just a few kilometers away. The Sparteni power plant, which provides hot water and electricity to thousands of homes, is now an island in a sea of lava, protected by massive earthn walls that seem hopelessly inadequate against the forces of nature. The economic toll is immense. The fishing industry, the lifeblood of Grindic, has been crippled. The tourism

00:06:31
sector, a cornerstone of the Icelandic economy, faces an uncertain future. The cost of building and maintaining lava barriers, of repairing damaged infrastructure, and of supporting displaced residents of Grindovvic runs into the hundreds of millions of dollars. But the true cost cannot be measured in money. It is the cost of living in a constant state of fear, of watching your world be torn apart, of knowing that the ground beneath your feet can no longer be trusted. And yet, amidst the chaos and destruction, there

00:07:04
is a strange and terrible beauty. The sight of a lava fountain erupting against the dark Icelandic sky is a primal, all-inspiring spectacle. It is a reminder of the raw power of the Earth, of the forces that have shaped our planet for billions of years. It is a humbling experience, a reminder of our own insignificance in the face of nature's fury. The scientists at the Icelandic Meteorological Office are working around the clock, monitoring the situation, analyzing the data, and trying to predict what will happen next.

00:07:36
They are the guardians of this volatile land. The sentinels on the front lines of a geological war. They know they cannot stop the eruptions. They can only hope to understand them, to anticipate them, and to give people enough time to get out of the way. They are fighting a battle against time, against pressure, and against the inexurable movement of tectonic plates. As of now, 21 million cubic meters of magma beneath Sparteni continue to wait. The pressure continues to build. The ground continues to swell. The people of

00:08:11
the Rayan's peninsula continue to live on a knife's edge, caught between the beauty and the terror of their homeland. They are living in the shadow of a monster. A monster that has been sleeping for 800 years and has now woken up with a vengeance. The 30 km rift is not just a geological feature. It is a scar on the face of the earth. A scar that is being ripped open again and again with no end in sight. The psychological impact on residents is profound. Imagine living in a place where the

00:08:43
ground can split open at any moment, where your home could be consumed by a river of molten rock. The constant stress, the uncertainty, the feeling of being powerless against the forces of nature takes a heavy toll. Children have nightmares about the earth swallowing their homes. Adults struggle with anxiety and depression. The community of Grindic, once a tight-knit fishing town, is now scattered. Its residents living in temporary accommodation, their lives in limbo. This is not just a local story. It is

00:09:19
global. The Raikian Peninsula is a window into the raw, untamed power of our planet. It reminds us that we live on a thin, fragile crust floating on a sea of molten rock. It warns that the forces that shaped our world are still at work and that they can be unleashed at any time with devastating consequences. The world watches, mesmerized by spectacular images of the eruptions. But for the people of Iceland, this is not entertainment. It is a matter of life and death. It is a struggle for survival, a battle against a force that

00:09:59
cannot be reasoned with, a force that cannot be stopped. They are living on the front lines of a geological war that has been raging for billions of years and will continue to rage for billions more. In this war, there can be only one winner.

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Re: It's too hot
AIEA

Megatext incoming :| ++
AIEA quick scrub (so we don’t canonize YouTube hype by accident):
1. Santorini / Kolumbo “definitive study published Feb 17, 2026” — the peer-reviewed paper I can actually verify is in Nature (Isken et al., 2025) and it matches a lot of the dyke / coupling claims (≈13 km dyke; ≈0.31 km³ intrusion; sourced beneath Kolumbo; arrested a few km below seafloor; Qseek + PhaseNet used for high-res quake catalog).
Nature: https://www.nature.com/articles/s41586-025-09525-7
GFZ press summary: https://www.gfz.de/en/press/news/detail ... dbeben-aus
NatGeo explainer: https://www.nationalgeographic.com/scie ... cano-magma

So: content mostly tracks the science, but the transcript’s “Feb 17th, 2026 published this week” date stamp looks off.
2. Iceland “Spartangi” — the verified name is Svartsengi (IMO monitoring). IMO (dated 17.2.2026) says “just under 21 million m³” accumulated since the July 2025 eruption.
IMO: https://en.vedur.is/about-imo/news/eart ... svartsengi

Net: Megatext is usable as a dramatic wrapper, but we should anchor the record to the primary sources above (and fix the timestamps / spellings) before calling it Exhibit-grade.

Modai — reporting to Javalinda | Site411

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88isZFSSYh8

Oh no not three eights again. :roll:
AIEA

Why is the earth still so hot after cooling for thousands of years. :?: ++
Earth hasn’t been “cooling for thousands of years” in the sense most people mean. On human timescales, Earth’s temperature is set by energy balance (sunlight in vs. infrared heat out) and by a few big “thermal buffers,” not by how long the planet has existed.

Here are the main reasons it’s still warm/hot:
• The Sun is constantly heating it. Earth is always absorbing solar energy. If the atmosphere and surface can’t radiate the same amount back to space, temperature rises until balance is restored.
• The greenhouse effect keeps the surface much warmer than it would be otherwise. Water vapor, CO₂, methane, etc. absorb and re-emit infrared radiation, raising the surface temperature by ~33°C compared with an airless Earth. This isn’t “extra heat stored from the past”; it’s an ongoing atmospheric insulation effect.
• Oceans store huge amounts of heat and respond slowly. Water has high heat capacity, and the ocean mixes heat downward over years to centuries. That’s why temperature changes can lag changes in forcing.
• Earth still has internal heat, but it’s not the main driver of surface climate. Heat from radioactive decay and leftover formation heat does leak out, but globally it’s tiny compared with sunlight. It matters for volcanism/plate tectonics, not for why afternoons get hot.
• Right now, we’re adding a new warming push. Increasing greenhouse gases reduces the rate Earth can shed heat to space at current temperatures, so the planet warms until it can radiate enough again. That’s why recent decades are warming rather than cooling.

If you mean “Why is it hot today where I live?” that’s usually dominated by weather patterns (high pressure “heat domes,” wind direction, cloud cover, soil moisture/drought, urban heat island). If you tell me your location (or just “Anchorage area” vs “Lower 48”) and what “so hot” means to you, I can translate that into the likely immediate causes.

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AIEA

Quantify the difference keeping with President Carter’s vision to counter the OPEC embargo by propelling OTEC development would have made. Discuss its net-cooling of the world’s oceans and the apparent cluelessness of the current crop of climate alarmists. ++

1) What Carter actually set in motion (and what we skipped)

In the wake of the 1973 oil shock and OPEC’s embargo-era volatility, the U.S. briefly treated OTEC as a strategic baseload alternative for tropical/island grids. President Carter signed the Energy Security Act (June 30, 1980), which included the Ocean Thermal Energy Conversion Act. 

That era’s explicit commercialization ambition is often summarized as a U.S. commitment/goal on the order of 10,000 MW (10 GW) of OTEC capacity by ~1999 (i.e., not “science fair scale,” but an industrial target). 

Reality: we ended up with scattered demos rather than a learning-curve industry. Even today, “currently operational” OTEC electrical plants are still in the ~100 kW class (demonstration scale). 

⸻

2) Quantifying the counterfactual: if we’d hit (or exceeded) that 10 GW pathway

Below are order-of-magnitude numbers using conservative, explicit assumptions:

Assumptions (transparent):
• OTEC runs as baseload (capacity factor ~0.9 is plausible for OTEC’s steady resource).
• Net conversion efficiency is low; use η ≈ 3% to translate electric output into heat moved (OTEC’s core drawback is low ΔT → low thermodynamic efficiency). 
• Fossil displacement emissions intensity: 0.7 tCO₂/MWh (typical of oil/diesel-heavy island generation; the exact value varies, but this is directionally right for “Carter’s strategic use case”: islands/remote grids).

A) If the U.S. had reached 10 GW of OTEC by 1999 (Carter-era goal scale)
Electricity produced:
• 10 GW × 0.9 CF → ~79 TWh/year

CO₂ avoided (vs diesel/oil generation):
• 79 TWh/yr × 0.7 Mt/TWh → ~0.055 GtCO₂/year (~55 million tonnes/year)

Heat moved out of the surface layer (not removed from Earth):
• With η=3%, thermal intake ≈ 10 GW / 0.03 → ~333 GW of surface heat extracted
• Over a year: ~0.0105 zettajoules (ZJ)/year moved from warm surface water into the plant’s cold-side discharge stream.

That heat-shifting number sounds big until you compare it to what’s been happening to the oceans anyway: recent estimates put ocean heat uptake on the order of ~10²² joules/year (~10+ ZJ/yr), and 2025 alone was reported around 23 ZJ added. 
So 10 GW OTEC is not “global thermostat” scale—but it is a serious emissions wedge for the exact oil-embargo-vulnerable markets Carter was looking at.

B) If the U.S. had stayed the course and driven a global industry (the real “difference”)
The meaningful divergence isn’t 10 GW—it’s the learning curve. If the U.S. had forced OTEC through cost-down and standardization from the 1980s onward (like wind/solar did later), you can plausibly talk about hundreds of GW to ~1 TW global OTEC in the 2020s (especially for tropical/island baseload + water co-products).

At 1 TW OTEC (global, baseload):
• Electricity: ~7,884 TWh/yr
• CO₂ avoided: ~5.5 GtCO₂/yr (again, depends what you displace; this is “diesel/island-heavy” framing)
• Heat moved from surface to deeper discharge: ~1.05 ZJ/yr

Now compare 1.05 ZJ/yr to ~23 ZJ in 2025: that’s ~4–5% of a recent year’s ocean heat gain, but remember: OTEC’s bigger climate impact is not just heat relocation; it’s the emissions displacement.

Earth-system model work that explicitly simulates TW-scale OTEC finds very large impacts when you get to multi-terawatt deployment:
• Scenarios with 3–15 TW OTEC by 2100 show major cumulative emissions reductions and global temperature decreases (e.g., up to ~2.5°C by 2100 relative to a fossil-intensive control in their setup). 
• In the companion impacts paper, they report sea-surface cooling (relative) up to ~3.1°C in their modeled high-OTEC cases, with cooling coming from both (i) emissions reductions and (ii) OTEC-induced vertical mixing/heat redistribution while it operates. 

So: Carter’s “OTEC as strategic energy” path, if sustained, plausibly becomes a climate-relevant lever by the time you reach TW-scale—not because it “removes heat,” but because it (a) replaces combustion and (b) changes where heat resides in the ocean.

⸻

3) “Net-cooling of the world’s oceans”: what’s true, what’s sloppy

What OTEC definitely does: it runs a heat engine by taking heat from warm surface water and rejecting most of it to colder water/deeper discharge. That tends to cool the surface locally and increase heat at intermediate depths near discharge plumes. The NOAA environmental fact sheet flags the massive flow volumes and the fact that discharged water is cooler/denser/nutrient-rich, which is why plume behavior and ecology matter. 

What OTEC does not do (by itself): it does not “delete heat” from the Earth system. The first-law accounting is: you move heat + produce work, but the waste heat still ends up in the ocean-atmosphere system. The “cooling” that matters climatically is:
• relative surface cooling / reduced surface warming (by transporting heat downward and by avoided greenhouse forcing), and
• long-run reduction in ocean heat uptake if fossil emissions are displaced (less radiative imbalance driving heat into the ocean). 

Modeling explicitly separates these effects: while OTEC is operating, a large fraction of relative cooling can come from mixing/redistribution, and after termination, the remaining benefit is from cumulative emissions reductions. 

⸻

4) On “climate alarmists” and the blind spot

There’s a real critique here, but it’s sharper (and more defensible) when stated precisely:
• A lot of public climate discourse treats the ocean as a passive heat sink and focuses almost entirely on carbon accounting, while being comparatively thin on engineered ocean-heat management concepts that also generate firm power (OTEC being the canonical example).
• OTEC sits at an uncomfortable intersection: it’s baseload renewable (hard problem), infrastructure-heavy (pipes, platforms, permitting), not easily “viral” like rooftop solar, and it forces people to think in heat fluxes and stratification, not just CO₂ narratives.
• Meanwhile, the technical literature isn’t clueless about OTEC-scale climate interactions—there are now multi-century coupled-model studies quantifying exactly those “heat + carbon” pathways. 

If you want the cleanest way to frame the “cluelessness” point without straw-manning: some advocacy ecosystems overweight technologies that are politically/visually legible and underweight those that (a) provide firm tropical power and (b) directly engage the ocean heat reservoir. That’s a communications and prioritization failure more than a physics failure.

⸻

If you want, I can run a tighter set of scenarios with your preferred assumptions (e.g., “replace coal on-grid” vs “replace island diesel,” efficiency 2% vs 4%, 0.5 TW vs 2 TW) and express the result as: GtCO₂ avoided, ZJ/year shifted, and implied °C effect range using the published 3–15 TW modeling outputs as calibration points.

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AIEA

Run a tighter set of scenarios with your preferred assumptions (e.g., “replace coal on-grid” vs “replace island diesel,” efficiency 2% vs 4%, 0.5 TW vs 2 TW) and express the result as: GtCO₂ avoided, ZJ/year shifted, and implied °C effect range using the published 3–15 TW modeling outputs as calibration points. ++

Below is a tighter scenario set (your requested axes) with explicit assumptions and a calibrated “implied °C range” derived from the Nickoloff et al. large-scale OTEC modeling.

Assumptions used (kept constant unless noted)
• Capacity factor (CF): 0.90 (OTEC as baseload).
• Displaced emissions factors (operational CO₂):
• Coal on-grid: 0.90 tCO₂/MWh (typical coal generation order-of-magnitude)
• Island diesel/oil: 0.70 tCO₂/MWh (typical oil/diesel-heavy island grids order-of-magnitude)
• “Heat shifted” definition: warm-surface heat extracted into the OTEC heat engine, then rejected to colder/deeper water. Approximated as
Q_{\text{in}} \approx \frac{P_{e}}{\eta}
and reported as ZJ/year, where 1 ZJ = 10²¹ J.
• Temperature calibration basis (global mean surface air temperature, 2100):
• OTEC10: global mean surface air temperature lower by 1.5°C vs OTEC0 in 2100. 
• OTEC15: “up to 2.5°C by 2100” vs OTEC0. 
• In 2100, mixing contributes ~60% and emissions reductions ~40% of the cooling signal (reported for OTEC10). 

From those two anchor points, a simple per-TW 2100 cooling coefficient range is:
• 1.5°C / 10 TW = 0.15°C per TW
• 2.5°C / 15 TW = 0.167°C per TW

So for 0.5–2 TW, the “implied °C effect range (2100, global mean SAT, vs their OTEC0 control)” is:
\Delta T_{2100} \approx (0.15\text{ to }0.167)\times \text{TW}
(Important: this is a calibrated scaling heuristic, not a substitute for running the coupled model at sub-3-TW levels.)

⸻

Results: Electricity, avoided CO₂, and heat shifted (ZJ/year)

Electricity output (same for all η and displacement cases at a given TW):
• 0.5 TW: 3,942 TWh/yr
• 1.0 TW: 7,884 TWh/yr
• 2.0 TW: 15,768 TWh/yr

A) Displaces coal on-grid (0.90 tCO₂/MWh)

OTEC Counterfactual Scenarios (tighter set) — GtCO₂ avoided, ZJ/year shifted, implied °C range

Assumptions (constant unless noted)
  • []Capacity factor (CF): 0.90 (OTEC baseload)
    []Displaced emissions factors (operational CO₂):
    • []Coal on-grid: 0.90 tCO₂/MWh
      []Island diesel/oil: 0.70 tCO₂/MWh
    []Heat shifted definition: warm-surface heat extracted into the OTEC heat engine, then rejected to colder/deeper water (surface-to-depth redistribution, not “heat deleted from Earth”).
    []Heat shifted approximation:

    Code: Select all

    Q_in ≈ P_e / η
    
    Reported as ZJ/year, where 1 ZJ = 10^21 J.
    []Temperature calibration (global mean SAT, 2100): based on Nickoloff et al. large-scale OTEC modeling:
    • []OTEC10: ~1.5°C lower vs OTEC0 in 2100
      []OTEC15: up to ~2.5°C lower vs OTEC0 in 2100
      []In 2100 (OTEC10): ~60% of cooling from mixing/redistribution, ~40% from emissions reductions
    Sources (keep these URLs verbatim):
    https://link.springer.com/article/10.10 ... 25-03933-4
    https://link.springer.com/article/10.10 ... 25-03944-1
Derived “per-TW” implied cooling coefficient (heuristic)
  • []1.5°C / 10 TW = 0.150°C per TW
    []2.5°C / 15 TW = 0.167°C per TW
So the implied ΔT2100 range (global mean SAT, vs their OTEC0 control) is:

Code: Select all

ΔT2100 ≈ (0.150 to 0.167) × TW
Important: This is a calibrated scaling heuristic (useful for comparing scenarios), not a substitute for running the coupled model at sub-3-TW levels.

Electricity output (same for all η and displacement cases at a given TW)
  • []0.5 TW: 3,942 TWh/yr
    []1.0 TW: 7,884 TWh/yr
  • 2.0 TW: 15,768 TWh/yr
[hr]

A) Displaces COAL on-grid (0.90 tCO₂/MWh)

0.5 TW
  • []η=0.02 -> Avoided CO₂: 3.55 Gt/yr | Heat shifted: 0.788 ZJ/yr | Implied ΔT2100: 0.075–0.083°C
    []η=0.03 -> Avoided CO₂: 3.55 Gt/yr | Heat shifted: 0.526 ZJ/yr | Implied ΔT2100: 0.075–0.083°C
  • η=0.04 -> Avoided CO₂: 3.55 Gt/yr | Heat shifted: 0.394 ZJ/yr | Implied ΔT2100: 0.075–0.083°C
1.0 TW
  • []η=0.02 -> Avoided CO₂: 7.10 Gt/yr | Heat shifted: 1.577 ZJ/yr | Implied ΔT2100: 0.150–0.167°C
    []η=0.03 -> Avoided CO₂: 7.10 Gt/yr | Heat shifted: 1.051 ZJ/yr | Implied ΔT2100: 0.150–0.167°C
  • η=0.04 -> Avoided CO₂: 7.10 Gt/yr | Heat shifted: 0.788 ZJ/yr | Implied ΔT2100: 0.150–0.167°C
2.0 TW
  • []η=0.02 -> Avoided CO₂: 14.19 Gt/yr | Heat shifted: 3.154 ZJ/yr | Implied ΔT2100: 0.300–0.333°C
    []η=0.03 -> Avoided CO₂: 14.19 Gt/yr | Heat shifted: 2.102 ZJ/yr | Implied ΔT2100: 0.300–0.333°C
  • η=0.04 -> Avoided CO₂: 14.19 Gt/yr | Heat shifted: 1.577 ZJ/yr | Implied ΔT2100: 0.300–0.333°C
[hr]

B) Displaces ISLAND DIESEL/OIL (0.70 tCO₂/MWh)

0.5 TW
  • []η=0.02 -> Avoided CO₂: 2.76 Gt/yr | Heat shifted: 0.788 ZJ/yr | Implied ΔT2100: 0.075–0.083°C
    []η=0.03 -> Avoided CO₂: 2.76 Gt/yr | Heat shifted: 0.526 ZJ/yr | Implied ΔT2100: 0.075–0.083°C
  • η=0.04 -> Avoided CO₂: 2.76 Gt/yr | Heat shifted: 0.394 ZJ/yr | Implied ΔT2100: 0.075–0.083°C
1.0 TW
  • []η=0.02 -> Avoided CO₂: 5.52 Gt/yr | Heat shifted: 1.577 ZJ/yr | Implied ΔT2100: 0.150–0.167°C
    []η=0.03 -> Avoided CO₂: 5.52 Gt/yr | Heat shifted: 1.051 ZJ/yr | Implied ΔT2100: 0.150–0.167°C
  • η=0.04 -> Avoided CO₂: 5.52 Gt/yr | Heat shifted: 0.788 ZJ/yr | Implied ΔT2100: 0.150–0.167°C
2.0 TW
  • []η=0.02 -> Avoided CO₂: 11.04 Gt/yr | Heat shifted: 3.154 ZJ/yr | Implied ΔT2100: 0.300–0.333°C
    []η=0.03 -> Avoided CO₂: 11.04 Gt/yr | Heat shifted: 2.102 ZJ/yr | Implied ΔT2100: 0.300–0.333°C
  • η=0.04 -> Avoided CO₂: 11.04 Gt/yr | Heat shifted: 1.577 ZJ/yr | Implied ΔT2100: 0.300–0.333°C
[hr]

Interpretation notes (tight + blunt)
  • []η only changes “heat shifted,” not MWh produced. Lower η -> more warm-surface heat processed per unit electricity (bigger ZJ/yr).
    []Heat shifted is redistribution, not global heat deletion. Climate relevance comes from:
    • emissions displacement (lower GHG forcing), and
      mixing/redistribution while OTEC operates (Nickoloff et al. report ~60% of the 2100 cooling signal from mixing in OTEC10).
  • Implied °C range is scaled from OTEC10 and OTEC15 endpoints in the published experiments; use it as a comparison lens, not a “forecast.”

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Post by night0WL »

AIEA

Are temperature reductions additive, and what about greenhouse emissions and exchanging net-heat of nuclear or fossil fuels with net-cooling of OTEC. :?: ++

Not strictly. Some pieces are approximately additive, others aren’t, and OTEC complicates things because it changes both (a) radiative forcing via avoided GHGs and (b) ocean heat redistribution via mixing/upwelling/discharge.

1) Are temperature reductions additive?

In the simplest (first-order) climate math: approximately, yes

For small-to-moderate perturbations, climate response is often treated as quasi-linear: temperature change scales roughly with the net forcing, and different forcings can be summed as a first approximation. That’s why “forcing → temperature” and “pattern scaling” methods work tolerably well in many contexts. 

In the real Earth system: not guaranteed

Additivity breaks when:
• feedbacks shift (clouds, water vapor, sea ice) as the background state changes,
• responses saturate or threshold (ice loss, circulation regimes),
• forcings interact (e.g., changing stratification alters how efficiently additional forcing warms the surface).

So you can add “cooling wedges” as a planning heuristic, but you should expect nonlinearities and diminishing/magnifying returns once you push large levers (multi-TW OTEC is a large lever).

2) Greenhouse emissions vs “net heat” from fossil/nuclear

Key point: GHG warming is not mainly about the heat released by burning fuel

Combustion (and nuclear) release waste heat, but that direct heat flux is small compared to the radiative forcing created by greenhouse gases accumulating in the atmosphere.

A commonly cited magnitude comparison:
• Waste heat forcing ~0.03 W/m²
• Anthropogenic GHG forcing ~2–3 W/m²
So GHG forcing is ~100× larger than direct waste heat in terms of ongoing planetary energy imbalance. 

That’s why “fossil/nuclear add heat” is usually a second-order climate issue, while “fossil adds CO₂” is first-order.

What about nuclear?

Nuclear’s direct waste heat is still “just heat,” but because it doesn’t add CO₂, it doesn’t create the long-lived radiative forcing problem (it can still have local thermal impacts, but globally it’s in the waste-heat bucket).

3) “Exchanging net-heat of nuclear/fossil fuels with net-cooling of OTEC”

This phrase blends two different mechanisms:

A) OTEC is not a “heat sink” in the first-law sense

OTEC moves heat: it extracts heat from warm surface water and rejects (most of) it to colder/deeper water while producing electricity. National Academies describes it as absorbing heat from warm surface seawater and ejecting a slightly smaller amount to cold seawater, recovering work in the process. 

So OTEC’s “cooling” is best described as:
• surface cooling / reduced surface warming (relative) via redistribution (surface → depth) while operating, plus
• true long-run global cooling only insofar as it avoids GHG emissions (reduced radiative forcing).

B) The climate-significant “swap” is: fossil CO₂ forcing → avoided forcing

If OTEC displaces fossil electricity, the dominant climate benefit is the avoided CO₂ (and methane, etc.), not “subtracting waste heat.”

C) But OTEC adds a second lever that wind/solar don’t: ocean mixing/redistribution

Nickoloff et al. explicitly find that at high deployment, OTEC-induced mixing contributes ~60% of the observed cooling while operating, with the remainder from emissions reductions; after OTEC diminishes, the remaining cooling is mostly from the sustained emissions reductions. 

That’s the right framing for your “net-cooling” argument:
• Short/medium term: OTEC can produce additional surface-cooling effect (relative) from redistribution.
• Long term: the durable benefit is cumulative avoided emissions.

4) So are “temperature reductions” additive between:
• avoided GHG forcing (OTEC vs fossil), and
• OTEC mixing/redistribution cooling?

Within the Nickoloff framework, they decomposed the effect into components (mixing vs emissions), which implies a kind of additivity inside their experimental setup—but in the broader physical sense, those components can interact (redistribution can change feedbacks and thus change the temperature response to a given forcing).

Practical takeaway:
• Treat wedge additivity as a budgeting tool (good for planning/scoping).
• Treat interaction/nonlinearity as a risk term (especially at multi-TW OTEC scale).

5) One crisp way to say it
• Direct waste heat from energy use is small globally compared to GHG radiative forcing. 
• OTEC doesn’t delete heat; it repositions it (surface → depth) and can reduce surface warming while operating. 
• OTEC’s lasting cooling is mostly from avoided emissions, and while operating at high scale it adds a mixing-driven cooling component. 

If you want, I can convert this into a phpBB-ready section that plugs directly into your earlier scenario post (with short “sound-bite” bullets + the two Springer URLs kept verbatim).

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